User Guide (thoroughbred)
To go directly to the ratings reports, CLICK HERE!
Otherwise, read on for more information.
This section is intended to be a “user’s manual” which will allow you to get the most from this new and unique bettor’s tool.
If you want to make money, we suggest you save or print this page, so you can review it at your convenience. We will explain the various features of our unique Point Rating Reports, so you will be prepared to get the optimum benefit from this work we have done for you. And we invite you to look at our “Betting Strategies” section where we discuss some actual ways to convert this amazing data to profit. You’ll notice that the discussions in the Betting Strategies section was originally written for our harness reports, but much of that discussion is appropriate to the new T-bred reports as well.
This is one of the most exciting features of our Point Rating Reports. We have said many times that by eliminating certain “unbettable” races users can improve on our overall production statistics by a significant margin. Well, we have developed a “PREDICTABILITY” Index to help you determine which races are “bettable” and which races are not. You will see a number to the right of the point rating for each horse. This number indicates the reliability value of that particular horse, based on the purity and completeness of the data included in its past performance history. For example, a horse racing at a mile distance for the first time after running in only 6 furlong races carries added risk for the bettor. It doesn’t mean that the horse in question is a “bad” horse, it only means that our ability to provide an accurate rating of the horse is compromised by the fact that we do not have historical data and are using our best estimate based on solid statistics.
There are 10 different factors that are considered when calculating this Predictability Index. The maximum rating a horse can receive is 100. We suggest that you study the success patterns at the track(s) of your choice to determine the minimum acceptable rating and avoid betting the races with an index below that minimum. We suggest that a rating of 80 or more is probably a good bet. That may vary from track to track, and we will keep subscribers informed of more specific guidelines as we learn them.
One other thing to keep in mind is that this predictability rating is just as important for the 6th or 7th selection as it is for the first selec tion. I would prefer to bet a race where every contestant has a high predictability rating…that means there is less likelihood that some thing is hidden or misrepresented in any of the horse’s past performance history which could lead to a real surprise outcome.
One final note on predictability. Using CompuBet you can “shop around” for the most predictable betting opportunities from literally hundreds of races. However, these will usually prove to be “chalk” selections and prices will generally be of the smaller variety. The reliability of these bets makes them worthwhile and affords a realistic conservative investment opportunity. But if you like to cash exactas, trifectas, or play our “Controlled Progressive Place” strategy, you can eliminate the “worst” races – those with the lowest predictability index, but the best payoffs often come when the “chalk” horse runs out, so the races with the medium to high predictability index can generate the best profits.
Now for the basic features of our reports (click here for a sample report):
Our Jockey/Trainer stats are obviously based on the rider programmed. If there happens to be a late change of jockeys, you might want to bear this in mind in making your final wagering decisions.
We use many pieces of information to calculate an overall rating for each horse. The horses are then listed in order of that rating; the better rating, the higher on the list. The highest rated horse is therefore at the top of the list.
This is wagering number of of each horse. Due to licensing restrictions, we are allowed to provide program numbers for only the top 5 contenders. We suggest you consult an official program for the wagering numbers of the other horses.
We make every effort to provide a rating for every horse, and every effort is also made to utilize accurate information, such as post position, etc. There may be times when the information we get does not contain complete or useable information. You will see N/A in certain report features when this is the case. We will attempt to rate each horse using the best estimates possible, based on acceptable statistical standards.
SPEED: Our speed ratings are based on distance, track variant, surface, etc. A higher number indicates a more favorable competitor.
This number relates to the horse’s running style. A lower number means the horse is consistently near the front of the pack in the early stages of the race.
This number indicates the class rating of the competition in recent races. Obviously a horse with a higher number here, indicates a horse that is probably moving into a race with lesser competitors today.
Horses that have not raced in at least two months. We will also provide the actual number of days since its last race.
This is a good place to make one very important point.
The big advantage of CompuBet over a human handicapper is that the computer does it the exact same every time; CONSISTENCY!!! Once you have the proper balance and begin to produce positive, profitable results, you can depend on it day in and day out. We all know that the races are contested on the track, and under the best of circumstances or systems, there will be days when things just don’t work out. But with CompuBet, the odds are in your favor.
SOME FINAL THOUGHTS
Avoid betting on certain races. If our report is in any way incomplete, we suggest you don’t bet.
Keep an eye on our point spread. A race with very close points for the first five or six horses might be too wide open to bet.
A close point spread among the top four horses might suggest a one dollar trifecta box ($24.00)
A close point spread among the top three might suggest a one dollar exacta box ($6.00)
A big gap between the top pick and the second, then another gap to the third pick, might suggest a trifecta part wheel.
A gap between the top pick and the next three are closely grouped, might suggest a trifecta key, or an exacta key.
If you keep an eye on the spread, you will soon learn the best exotic bets to make.
Naturally, WIN and PLACE are consistently the best bets; higher payback and easier to hit. Pick 3?s typically offer a great payback as well. Check your local program for the takeout percentages.
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- CompuBet Freepick for WOODBINE MOHAWK PARK Race: #2 on 2020-12-03 December 3, 2020
- CompuBet Freepick for WESTERN FAIR Race: #3 on 2020-12-02 December 2, 2020
- CompuBet Freepick for FRASER DOWNS Race: #11 on 2020-11-04 November 4, 2020