This section is intended to be a “user’s manual” which will allow you to get the most from this new and unique bettor’s tool.
If you want to make money, we suggest you save or print this page, so you can review it at your convenience. We will explain the various features of our unique Point Rating Reports, so you will be prepared to get the optimum benefit from this work we have done for you. And we invite you to look at our “Betting Strategies” Reports where we discuss some actual ways to convert this amazing data to profit.
This is one of the most exciting features of our Point Rating Reports. We have said many times that by eliminating certain “unbettable” races users can improve on our overall production statistics by a significant margin. Well, we have developed a “PREDICTABILITY” Index to help you determine which races are “bettable” and which races are not. You will see a number to the right of the point rating for each horse. This number indicates the reliability value of that particular horse, based on the purity and completeness of the data included in its past performance history. For example, a horse coming in from a seasonal fair track to race at the Meadowlands would have a lower index of predictability than a horse that has been racing at the Meadowlands right along. It doesn’t mean that the horse in question is a “bad” horse, it only means that our ability to provide an accurate rating of the horse is compromised by the fact that we do not have sufficient information (from the fair track).
There are 10 different factors that are considered when calculating this Predictability Index. The maximum rating a horse can receive is 100. We suggest that you study the success patterns at the track(s) of your choice to determine the minimum acceptable rating and avoid betting the races with an index below that minimum. We suggest that a rating of 80 or more is probably a good bet. That may vary from track to track, and we will keep subscribers informed of more specific guidelines as we learn them.
One other thing to keep in mind is that this predictability rating is just as important for the 6th or 7th selection as it is for the first selection. I would prefer to bet a race where every contestant has a high predictability rating…that means there is less likelihood that something is hidden or misrepresented in any of the horse’s past performance history which could lead to a real surprise outcome. Here is a chart of the factors used to determine “Predictability” for Harness Races.
One final note on predictability. Using CompuBet you can “shop around” for the most predictable betting opportunities from literally hundreds of races. However, these will usually prove to be “chalk” selections and prices will generally be of the smaller variety. The reliability of these bets makes them worthwhile and affords a realistic conservative investment opportunity. But if you like to cash exactas, trifectas, or play our “Controlled Progressive Place” strategy, you should review our Betting Patterns Reports and attempt to play every race at the track that shows the best production rates for your favorite type of bet. Obviously , you can eliminate the “worst” races – those with the lowest predictability index, but the best payoffs often come when the “chalk” horse runs out, so the races with the medium to high predictability index can generate the best profits.
Now for the basic features of our reports:
Driver : Our new and improved data source means you no longer have to make adjustments for drivers listed on more than one horse. If there is a late driver change, you may want to make an adjustment. Each driver’s point rating is listed at the right of his/her name. The points are included in the horse’s point rating. If you wich to make an adjustment, just subtract the original driver’s points from the horse’s point total and add points based on the new driver (which you should be able to find elsewhere on the report)
Post: This is generally the betting number of of the named horse. Check the program to be sure the post has not been changed since the CompuBet Report was issued. Also, if there is an “Entry”, you may find the betting number may be different than the actual Post position.
HORSE: We make every effort to provide a rating for every horse, and every effort is also made to utilize accurate information, such as post position, etc. There will be times when the information we get is inaccurate. You can generally determine this by reviewing your race program. Should there be discrepancies, we suggest you DO NOT bet the race. If you feel comfortable that you can make the necessary adjustments to deal with the changes, and decide to bet the race, we wish you the best. Remember, in the event of scratches, “also eligible” moving in, and missing horses, you have to decide if the race is worth betting.
POINTS: We use many pieces of information to calculate points for each horse. The horses are then listed in order of point rating; the better rating, the higher on the list. The highest rated horse is therefore at the top of the list.
MUD: This is simply an indicator which might be helpful in the event of poor track conditions. Horses with a “MUD” indication have recently performed better than average on muddy or slow tracks.
QUAL: This indicates that a horse’s last race was in a qualifying race. We generally do not avoid betting on horses who have just qualified, as long as their overall point rating and adjusted speed rating are favorable. There are some “experts” however, who recommend NOT BETTING on these horses.
BREAKS: An “X” means that the horse broke stride in its last race (without any interference). We recommend using caution before betting these horses. If the break was an isolated instance, you’re probably safe. If the horse has a history of making breaks, I would not bet it. Again, as always, if you have doubts, DON’T BET the race.
>21: DAYS This horse has not raced in at least three weeks. We find that such horses, when point ratings and speed ratings are favorable, are generally OK to bet. During winter time, these are best avoided. And if you have some knowledge of the trainer, that might help.
FORM: This number indicates how well the horse has raced in recent starts. A high number means it has been racing well (lots of wins, seconds, thirds). A low number…well, not so good! Remember, Form is just one of many handicapping factors. A horse may have won three in a row in a relatively easy class, but today’s race may be a much tougher test, or vice versa.
INTERFERED: An “I” means the horse was bothered in its last race. A horse with a superior point rating in spite of an interference last week is probably a very good bet.
CLASS: This number indicates the class rating given that particular horse by CompuBet. The higher the number, the better the rating. The number basically represents each horse’s performance relative to the class of its competition in recent races. A good finish in a lower class race may not achieve as high a ranking as a slightly poorer finish in a higher class race, and so forth.
B/F: Some handicappers think that you have some sort of edge by betting on Beaten Favorites. We have not found that to be of any significant value; we simply provide the information for those who might want to know.
ADJ SPD: We provide an adjusted speed rating for each horse. Using some very complex statistical analyses, we take into account the daily track variant, track condition, and track-to-track speed variant, to determine the true adjusted speed for each horse. This becomes a very important ingredient in our point calculation, but it is, in itself, a very important handicapping factor. At some tracks raw speed plays a much bigger role in the outcome of races than at other tracks. By monitoring the results at a given track against the speed ratings, you can soon learn just how important speed is at your favorite track.
This is a good place to make one very important point.
The big advantage of CompuBet over a human handicapper is that the computer does it the exact same every time; CONSISTENCY!!! Once you have the proper balance and begin to produce positive, profitable results, you can depend on it day in and day out. We all know that the races are contested on the track, and under the best of circumstances or systems, there will be days when things just don’t work out. But with CompuBet, the odds are in your favor.
Some final thoughts:
- Avoid betting on certain races. If our report is in any way incomplete, we suggest you don’t bet.
- Also, avoid high risk races such as bottom level trots, maidens, and bottom level claimers. You know it is possible that those races will produce some very hefty payoffs, but they sure are harder to snare. And remember to look at our new Predictability Index for each horse in the race. The ideal race to bet will have every horse sporting a “Pre Index” of 80 or higher (70 for trotters). You gotta love it when the top selection has an index of 100!!
- Keep an eye on our point spread. A race with very close points for the first five or six horses might be too wide open to bet.
- A close point spread among the top four horses might suggest a one dollar trifecta box ($24.00)
- A close point spread among the top three might suggest a one dollar exacta box ($6.00)
- A big gap between the top pick and the second, then another gap to the third pick, might suggest a trifecta part wheel.
- A gap between the top pick and the next three are closely grouped, might suggest a trifecta key, or an exacta key.
- If you keep an eye on the spread, you will soon learn the best exotic bets to make.
- Naturally, WIN and PLACE are consistently the best bets; higher payback and easier to hit.
- However, many professional bettors use a betting management method called “Controlled Progressive Betting.” This is a powerful system when combined with Compubet. Please see our betting strategies page for more information on controlled progressive betting. You can use for win bets or place bets, or both.
- The beauty of this system is that it controls the amount any bettor can lose while at the same time giving the bettor an opportunity to quickly recover his losses. Using this method, betting on CompuBet’s first pick to place, will let the bettor cash a ticket between 50% and 60% of the time. Our Betting Pattens Reports will tell you which tracks produce the best place betting success.